Thursday, July 9, 2009

Commercial real estate "ticking" time bomb?

So says the Honorable Congresswoman from NY:
U.S. lawmakers rang alarm bells about the troubled commercial real estate industry, which has been walloped by the credit crunch and an implosion of property values.

"The commercial real estate time bomb is ticking," Joint Economic Committee Chairman Carolyn Maloney, D-N.Y., said in opening remarks to a hearing before her panel Thursday.

A wave of defaults of commercial real estate loans would deal a blow to the already weakened economy and banking sector. The U.S. commercial real estate market is roughly $6.7 trillion in size and is underpinned by about $3.5 trillion of debt.

A panel of witnesses painted a dire picture for lawmakers. Property values have plunged 35%-45% in many markets as transactions have slowed to a crawl, Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. (DB) mortgage analyst Richard Parkus told lawmakers.

The market won't begin to recover until 2012, or even later, he said. "We believe the bottom is several years away," he added.

Plunging property values are further hampering developers' ability to refinance their debt or loan extensions, the industry said.
SOURCE:WSJ

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